Commercial Investment Real Estate

MAY-JUN 2013

Commercial Investment Real Estate is the magazine of the CCIM Institute, the leading provider of commercial real estate education. CIRE covers market trends, current developments, and business strategies within the commercial real estate field.

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MARKE T TREND S Briefly Noted Hospitality — Sequestration's automatic spending cuts are slashing federal travel budgets, one of hospitality's most lucrative segments, says HotelNewsNow.com. In 2011, local, state, and federal employees spent $30 billion in travel, according to the U.S. Travel Association. Industrial — Net industrial absorption is expected to jump from 18.4 msf in 1Q13 to 34.7 msf by year-end, according to Cassidy Turley's U.S. Macro Forecast. Asking rents are projected to increase from $5.03 to $5.12. Suburban Bargains Ofce tenants willing to locate in the suburbs of some of today's hot markets face more space options and much lower rents than CBD locations. In addition, suburban rents are not rising as quickly as downtown rents, according to CBRE. Downtown vs. Suburban Office Gross average asking rents, $psf, 4Q12 METRO DOWNTOWN SUBURBAN DIFFERENCE $42.97 $19.58 $23.39 Houston 33.96 21.23 12.73 Denver 25.45 18.72 6.73 Seattle 32.29 26.65 5.64 Boston Source: CBRE Multifamily — The robust apartment market has two more years of improving fundamentals, according to Wells Fargo Securities 4Q12 Commercial Real Estate Chartbook, and little to fear from the current uptick in the rental home market. "The talk of a permanent shift toward renting homes instead of buying them is considerably overblown," the report states, predicting a return to homeownership as the economy improves. Office — While 1.7 million office-using jobs were lost in the recession, 1.8 million have been gained, primarily in professional and business services, according to Jones Lang LaSalle and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Of the jobs added in February, 42 percent were office jobs, with PBS comprising about 75 percent, followed by temporary help services and financial services. Retail — In 4Q12, shopping centers posted a net operating income psf gain of 4.3 percent over 4Q11, according to the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries and the International Council of Shopping Centers. Power centers posted a 7.7 percent YOY NOI gain, followed by super-regional malls at 4.6 percent, and neighborhood and community centers at 3.8 percent. Regional malls had the lowest gain at 0.4 percent. Apartment Upkeep In 2011, apartment owners spent $67.9 billion on operations, maintenance, and capital improvements. Utilities 15.5% Repairs & maintenance 14.3% Building services 42.8% Management 27.4% Source: National Apartment Association "RERC is forecasting a total return of approximately 8.0 percent for institutionalgrade commercial real estate." — RERC Real Estate Report, 1Q13 10 May | June | 2013 Commercial Investment Real Estate

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